- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (GFS27 11.1 m/s vs ECMWF 6.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.2 m/s, gusts 16.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.1 m/s, gusts 14.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 52% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.6 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (GFS27 9.9 m/s vs ICON EU 4.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 48% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 8.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 59% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.1 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (GFS27 8.8 m/s vs ECMWF 3.1 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 52% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.8 m/s)