- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (HRRR 10.6 m/s vs ICON Global 4.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.8°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (4.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.2°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 8.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (ECMWF 9.4 m/s vs ICON Global 3.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 10.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.5°C)