- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (AROME 10.1 m/s vs LEW 4.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 6.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 61% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.3 m/s, gusts 12.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 8.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 28% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 49% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.8 m/s, gusts 9.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 52% probability