- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (GFS27 10.9 m/s vs HRDPS 4.6 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.1 m/s, gusts 11.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 12.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.2 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 82% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Strong wind – experience required (10.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 7.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 27% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 83% probability