- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (GFS27 12.7 m/s vs LEW 6.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.1 m/s, gusts 12.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.3 m/s, gusts 13.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.5 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.4 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 70% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (2.7 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 57% probability