- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 12.8 m/s vs LEW 7.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 6.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.0 m/s, gusts 12.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.0 m/s, gusts 13.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.0 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 69% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 72% probability