- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (HRDPS 9.8 m/s vs ICON Global 4.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 33% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (6.7 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.3°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (6.8 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.5°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.8 m/s) (GFS27 11.4 m/s vs ICON Global 2.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.0 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (6.2 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.2°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 7.8 m/s vs ICON Global 2.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.2 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (5.3 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.1°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 4.9 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 35% probability
- Light wind – experience required (4.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.0°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Low breeze chance — 38% probability
- Light wind – experience required (4.3 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.1°C)