- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 14.2 m/s) (HRRR 16.8 m/s vs ICON Global 2.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (30.0°C)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 8.3 m/s vs ICON Global 2.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.7°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.3°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 8.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 42% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.1°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.0 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.2°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Low breeze chance — 41% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.0°C)