- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.5 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 31% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (3.4°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (3.6°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 54% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (3.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 6.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (3.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.0 m/s, gusts 16.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (3.5°C)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.0 m/s)
- High gust forecast (22.0 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.6 m/s) (GFS27 16.0 m/s vs ECMWF 8.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (3.4°C)