- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.3 m/s) (AROME 14.4 m/s vs ECMWF 6.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.3 m/s, gusts 18.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.1 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.8 m/s, gusts 10.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 49% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.9 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 54% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 10.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 53% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)