- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 10.7 m/s vs AROME 5.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.5 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.0 m/s) (ICON Global 11.4 m/s vs ICON D2 4.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.4 m/s, gusts 15.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 10.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 48% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 57% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (GFS27 8.8 m/s vs ECMWF 3.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 25% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.4 m/s)