- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.7 m/s) (GFS27 13.9 m/s vs LEW 7.2 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (13.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.7 m/s, gusts 19.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 14.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (14.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 53% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 31% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.3 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 47% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.9 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 62% probability
- High gust forecast (22.5 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.7 m/s) (GFS27 14.7 m/s vs ECMWF 8.1 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (14.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability