27.08.2026 (Thursday)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.2 m/s) (GFS27 10.7 m/s vs ACCESS-C 2.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.8 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
28.08.2026 (Friday)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (16.1 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (4.0 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
29.08.2026 (Saturday)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (ICON Global 13.9 m/s vs LEW 8.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.5 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (4.7 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
30.08.2026 (Sunday)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.2 m/s) (ECMWF 13.0 m/s vs LEW 5.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (17.6 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (4.4 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
31.08.2026 (Monday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 11.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.9 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (4.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
01.09.2026 (Tuesday)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- High gust forecast (24.5 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.0 m/s) (ICON Global 14.4 m/s vs LEW 7.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.5 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (3.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
