- Wind too light – not suitable (3.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 8.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 42% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.9 m/s, gusts 10.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.2 m/s, gusts 13.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 41% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.7 m/s) (GFS27 12.3 m/s vs ECMWF 5.6 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability