- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (LEW 8.6 m/s vs ECMWF 2.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.9 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (4.2 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (31.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 4.6 m/s, gusts 9.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Light wind – experience required (4.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (4.2 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (31.8°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 4.6 m/s, gusts 9.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Light wind – experience required (4.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.1 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (3.9 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 8.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (3.6 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (31.8°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.8 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Low breeze chance — 33% probability
- High water temp – risk of overheating (31.8°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.9 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Caution – too long wave period for beginners (15.7 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (31.8°C)