- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (ECMWF 10.4 m/s vs ICON Global 5.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.6 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 8.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 8.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.2 m/s, gusts 9.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 7.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.2 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Wetsuit required (14.4°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.5 m/s) (GFS27 11.3 m/s vs ICON Global 4.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.5 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.0°C)