- Good kite forecast: wind 8.8 m/s, gusts 15.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (15.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.8°C)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.4 m/s)
- High gust forecast (23.2 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (LEW 15.6 m/s vs ECMWF 10.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.9°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.7 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 50% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.1°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (LEW 11.9 m/s vs ECMWF 6.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.1°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (LEW 8.8 m/s vs ECMWF 3.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.1°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.1 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (LEW 8.5 m/s vs GFS27 3.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.2°C)