- Good kite forecast: wind 14.0 m/s, gusts 18.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 14.7 m/s, gusts 19.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.1 m/s)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (19.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 13.5 m/s, gusts 17.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 13.1 m/s, gusts 18.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.0 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 14.2 m/s vs ICON Global 8.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.5 m/s)