- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.1 m/s) (AROME 10.2 m/s vs ECMWF 3.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 42% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.1 m/s, gusts 13.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 36% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 6.0 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 82% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.5 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 74% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 4.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 52% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)