- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.4 m/s) (HRRR 11.8 m/s vs LEW 3.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 33% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 8.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.6 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 76% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 6.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 45% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 6.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 41% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 6.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 35% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability