- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (GFS27 13.2 m/s vs AROME 7.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 14.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (14.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.3 m/s, gusts 11.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 38% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (ECMWF 12.0 m/s vs LEW 6.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.8 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (ICON Global 10.8 m/s vs GFS27 5.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 64% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 9.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 68% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)