- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 9.2 m/s vs ECMWF 3.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.2 m/s, gusts 14.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (14.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 39% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 6.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 71% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.3 m/s, gusts 7.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 41% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 63% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 57% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.9 m/s, gusts 9.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.5 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 44% probability