- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.7 m/s) (GFS27 14.5 m/s vs ICON Global 5.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.2 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (4.8 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.3°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 6.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 68% probability
- Caution – short wave period (4.9 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 4.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 70% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (3.6 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (28.8°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (ICON EU 9.3 m/s vs ECMWF 3.9 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 65% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (3.7 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (28.4°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.4 m)
- Caution – short wave period (5.6 s)
- High water temperature (28.0°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.6 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 86% probability
- Caution – short wave period (3.8 s)
- High water temperature (27.7°C)