- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 8.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.9°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 34% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (GFS27 9.1 m/s vs ICON Global 3.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 36% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (14.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (GFS27 14.9 m/s vs ECMWF 9.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (ICON Global 12.6 m/s vs ECMWF 7.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)