12.09.2026 (Saturday)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (HRRR 7.4 m/s vs LEW 2.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.0 m/s) (HRRR 10.3 m/s vs ICON Global 3.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
14.09.2026 (Monday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 6.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.0°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 8.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.8°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
16.09.2026 (Wednesday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 8.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.6°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
17.09.2026 (Thursday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 6.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.7°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
18.09.2026 (Friday)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (ECMWF 7.3 m/s vs LEW 2.1 m/s)
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.3°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
