- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 9.5 m/s vs ICON Global 4.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 8.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.8 m/s, gusts 8.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (ECMWF 11.0 m/s vs GFS27 5.4 m/s)
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 25% probability