- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (GFS27 8.0 m/s vs ECMWF 2.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.2 m/s, gusts 9.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.5 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 55% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 6.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 32% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 6.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 5.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 7.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 39% probability