- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 9.3 m/s vs ICON Global 3.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.9°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.8 m/s, gusts 16.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.7°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 10.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.1°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.8 m/s, gusts 14.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (14.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.8°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.4 m/s, gusts 13.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (13.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.7°C)
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 6.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.6°C)
- Moderate breeze chance — 59% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.4 m/s) (GFS27 10.8 m/s vs ECMWF 4.3 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (8.6°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability