- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (GFS27 12.7 m/s vs LEW 7.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 10.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 30% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.7 m/s, gusts 12.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.7 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.8 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (GFS27 11.3 m/s vs ICON EU 6.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.3 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.1 m/s)