- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (AROME 11.1 m/s vs ICON Global 5.6 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.6 m/s, gusts 12.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.2 m/s, gusts 10.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.4 m/s, gusts 9.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 7.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 35% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.3 m/s, gusts 11.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.9 m/s, gusts 10.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 68% probability