- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (AROME 11.6 m/s vs ICON Global 5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 29% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 7.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.0 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 89% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.3 m/s, gusts 7.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 74% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 4.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 66% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.3 m/s, gusts 5.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 57% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 68% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 76% probability