- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (AROME 14.3 m/s vs ECMWF 8.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.6 m/s, gusts 16.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.1 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.9 m/s) (GFS27 10.1 m/s vs ICON EU 3.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 44% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.4 m/s, gusts 13.7 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 84% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 7.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 54% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 11.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 36% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.5 m/s)