- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 9.1 m/s) (HRRR 13.0 m/s vs LEW 3.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 46% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (31.9°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 4.5 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 81% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (31.9°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Moderate breeze chance — 70% probability
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 5.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 65% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.2°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Low breeze chance — 49% probability
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.1°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- High water temp – risk of overheating (32.3°C)