- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.7 m/s) (GFS27 11.0 m/s vs ECMWF 4.2 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 65% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.1 m/s, gusts 11.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.0 m/s, gusts 12.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 53% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.2 m/s, gusts 9.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 25% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.1 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 61% probability