- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 6.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 88% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 8.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.8 m/s, gusts 10.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.1 m/s, gusts 12.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.2 m/s) (GFS27 11.5 m/s vs ICON Global 4.3 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability