- Wind too light – not suitable (2.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 30% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 6.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 36% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.8 m/s, gusts 8.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 44% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.5 m/s, gusts 12.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.0 m/s) (GFS27 10.8 m/s vs ICON Global 2.8 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (GFS27 9.5 m/s vs LEW 3.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability