- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (ACCESS-C 11.6 m/s vs GFS27 6.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 8.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.4 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 66% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.8 m/s, gusts 10.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.8 m/s, gusts 14.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (14.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 12.4 m/s vs LEW 7.0 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 36% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability