- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.0 m/s) (AROME 13.1 m/s vs LEW 6.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.1 m/s, gusts 14.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.1 m/s, gusts 16.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.8 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.9 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.4 m/s) (ECMWF 10.7 m/s vs LEW 3.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 34% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 8.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.6 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 9.2 m/s vs ECMWF 3.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.9 m/s)