- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (HRRR 9.0 m/s vs LEW 3.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.5 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (15.8°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 11.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 19% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.5 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (15.1°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.4°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (4.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.4°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.1 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.3°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 8.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.0°C)