- Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.5 m/s) (AROME 9.7 m/s vs ICON Global 3.3 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 54% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 6.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.6 m/s, gusts 9.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 6.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 7.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.0 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability