- Good kite forecast: wind 13.7 m/s, gusts 17.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.5 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 13.4 m/s vs ICON Global 8.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.5 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 6.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 8.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.0 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (14.2°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 9.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.8°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Wetsuit required (14.1°C)