- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (GFS27 8.9 m/s vs ICON Global 3.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 9.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 48% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.4 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 55% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 38% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Low breeze chance — 38% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (4.0 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability