- Good kite forecast: wind 11.0 m/s, gusts 10.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.5 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 12.2 m/s vs ICON Global 6.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.5 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.4 m/s) (GFS27 11.5 m/s vs ICON Global 5.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.4 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.8 m/s) (GFS27 15.4 m/s vs ECMWF 7.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (15.1 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (GFS27 14.0 m/s vs ECMWF 9.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.1 m/s) (GFS27 13.1 m/s vs ICON Global 5.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)