- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 12.8 m/s vs ECMWF 7.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.0 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.5 m/s) (GFS27 12.5 m/s vs ICON Global 5.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (GFS27 14.0 m/s vs ICON Global 7.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.7 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 14.1 m/s vs ECMWF 8.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.9 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (GFS27 13.4 m/s vs ECMWF 7.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.5 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.7 m/s, gusts 11.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)