- Good kite forecast: wind 11.0 m/s, gusts 10.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.5 m/s, gusts 11.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.1 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.0 m/s) (GFS27 13.1 m/s vs ICON Global 5.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.0 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.6 m/s) (GFS27 16.0 m/s vs ICON Global 8.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (16.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 14.2 m/s vs ECMWF 8.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.1 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.5 m/s) (GFS27 13.5 m/s vs ICON Global 5.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)