- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 11.2 m/s vs ECMWF 5.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.5 m/s, gusts 10.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.9 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.3 m/s) (GFS27 12.9 m/s vs ICON Global 4.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.3 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.0 m/s) (GFS27 15.3 m/s vs ICON Global 8.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (15.1 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 14.2 m/s vs ECMWF 8.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.8 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 9.0 m/s) (GFS27 14.0 m/s vs ICON Global 5.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.6 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)