- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.2 m/s) (HRRR 11.6 m/s vs LEW 3.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.5 m/s) (HRRR 11.9 m/s vs LEW 4.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (ECMWF 10.0 m/s vs LEW 4.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (ECMWF 10.9 m/s vs LEW 5.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.1 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.6°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (ECMWF 10.5 m/s vs ICON Global 4.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.4°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (ECMWF 8.9 m/s vs LEW 3.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.0 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.2°C)