- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.8 m/s) (HRRR 11.7 m/s vs LEW 4.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (GFS27 9.9 m/s vs LEW 4.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.2 m/s, gusts 12.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.9°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.3 m/s, gusts 15.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.8°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (ECMWF 10.7 m/s vs LEW 5.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.2 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.3°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.4 m/s) (ECMWF 10.8 m/s vs ICON Global 3.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.7°C)