Akaroa Heads: weather statistics and wind history

43.9049° S, 172.966° E
16.09.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 6.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.8°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 46% probability
17.09.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
18.09.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.1°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 38% probability
19.09.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 7.2 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.2 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
20.09.2026
  • High gust forecast (20.5 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.4 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (5.2 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
21.09.2026
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.1 m/s, gusts 9.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.1 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.4 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.0°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 32% probability
22.09.2026
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
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