- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (HRRR 8.0 m/s vs NAM 2.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.6 m/s, gusts 10.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 7.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.8 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
- Wetsuit required (17.8°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 6.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (17.5°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Wetsuit required (17.9°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 33% probability
- Wetsuit required (17.7°C)